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Take Home Exam 3 Solution


1)  Consider a sequence of coin tosses, and let   be the probability of heads at each toss.
b.
ML estimator of


be




For some fixed
, let




th head occurs. Find the
a.
For some fixed

, let

be the number of tosses until the



estimator of







based on    .

the number of heads observed in tosses. Find the ML based on .

    2) Let = {6.5, 8.8, 7.5, 9.2, 9.9, 12.4} be a random sample 0of.8size 6 from ( , 0.8), i.e. all data points are drawn from Normal distribution with variance .

    a. Compute the maximum likelihood estimate for the parameter  .


    b. Generate %95 confidence interval for the estimated parameter in part (a).

    c. At least how many samples more are needed in order to estimate our population mean with a distance of 0.5 with %99 confidence?


3)    Let denote the true proportion of students who prefers C# programming language to C++. Let denote the number of students out of , who prefers C#.


b.
Let’s say


for which the probability is 80% that the difference
a.
Compute the smallest


between

and

is less than 0.02.









have a margin
of error equal to 0.06, how many more observations are





required to have a margin half the size?
value is

0:  = 120


1
:  ≠
120

=10,  =16


be rejected?
is tested against


    ̅= 123.3

what P-
4)  Suppose







where


0

associated with the sample mean



. Under what circumstances will







5)  Let’s say we take a sample of size 1 from











( ) =


−    
,
= 0,1,2…

and want to test:

!







0
:  = 6 vs  1
:  < 6











by rejecting    0 if    ≤ 2.

        a. Calculate the probability of committing a Type I error.

        b. Calculate the probability of committing a Type II error.

    6) Check the following measurements for a predictor ( ) and response variable ( ) :









    1 12,6

    2 11,6

    3 6,8

    4 9,2


Find the slope and intercept using least squares estimation.

REGULATIONS

    1. You have to write your answers to the provided sections of the template answer file given. Other than that, you cannot change the provided template answer file. If a latex structure you want to use cannot be compiled with the included packages in the template file, that means you should not use it.

    2. Do not write any other stuff, e.g. question definitions, to answers' sections. Only write your solutions. Otherwise, you will get 0 from that question.

    3. Cheating : We have zero tolerance policy for cheating}. People involved in cheating will be punished according to the university regulations.

    4. You must follow odtuclass for discussions and possible updates on a daily basis.

    5. Evaluation: Your latex file will be converted to pdf and evaluated by course assistants. The .tex file will be checked for plagiarism automatically using ``black-box'' technique and manually by assistants, so make sure to obey the specifications.



SUBMISSION


Submission will be done via ODTUCLASS. Download the given template file, "the3.tex", when you finish your exam upload your "the3.tex" file to ODTUCLASS.

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